{"id":4362,"date":"2023-01-06T14:16:00","date_gmt":"2023-01-06T13:16:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/?p=4362"},"modified":"2024-08-23T14:20:16","modified_gmt":"2024-08-23T12:20:16","slug":"quelles-previsions-economiques-pour-lannee-2023-selon-la-banque-centrale-destonie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/2023\/01\/06\/quelles-previsions-economiques-pour-lannee-2023-selon-la-banque-centrale-destonie\/","title":{"rendered":"Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"4362\" class=\"elementor elementor-4362\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-60936809 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"60936809\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4c03756f e-con-full 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e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"794937c6\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e0bc3ce elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"e0bc3ce\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 <br>selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ?\n<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-44a33e3 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"44a33e3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"580\" height=\"386\" src=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/f837b7_6c28b35c1630422bad053aa96cb2aae7mv2-768x511.webp\" class=\"attachment-medium_large size-medium_large wp-image-4366\" alt=\"Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ?\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/f837b7_6c28b35c1630422bad053aa96cb2aae7mv2-768x511.webp 768w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/f837b7_6c28b35c1630422bad053aa96cb2aae7mv2-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/f837b7_6c28b35c1630422bad053aa96cb2aae7mv2.webp 925w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3cb25d70 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"3cb25d70\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6ae7f751 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6ae7f751\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-zjm5q1516\" class=\"XFQsU\"><div class=\"_4zxWp eu4Ur\"><figure class=\"-NM7M\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\" data-hook=\"imageViewer\"><div id=\"zjm5q1516\" class=\"AE5h6 _3EJkQ bk5lD\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-767b89e5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"767b89e5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\"><div class=\"elementor-widget-container\"><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-zjm5q1516\" class=\"XFQsU\"><div class=\"_4zxWp eu4Ur\"><figure class=\"-NM7M\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"button\" data-hook=\"imageViewer\"><div id=\"zjm5q1516\" class=\"AE5h6 _3EJkQ bk5lD\"><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><p id=\"viewer-9cc7t\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"deJ7P YCZ-u\"><em>La crise inflationniste et \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique que traverse l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne a \u00e9t\u00e9 particuli\u00e8rement forte en Estonie avec le plus fort taux d\u2019inflation en Europe en 2022 (19,4%). Pourtant, la demande s\u2019est maintenue notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 une forte \u00e9pargne disponible. Cela a permis aux entreprises de r\u00e9aliser des r\u00e9sultats relativement bons. Cependant, l\u2019effondrement de la demande commence \u00e0 se voir et risque de s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer au T1 2023. Par cons\u00e9quent, les perspectives macro-\u00e9conomiques pour 2023 s\u2019assombrissent. Une sortie de crise \u00e0 long terme est envisageable au d\u00e9triment de l\u2019\u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire, une premi\u00e8re pour l\u2019Estonie.<\/em><\/span><\/p><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block3\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-eikvk\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\"><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><p id=\"viewer-6qdci\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"deJ7P YCZ-u\"><strong><u>Une situation macro-\u00e9conomique qui s&rsquo;est relativement bien maintenue en 2022<\/u><\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block7\">Contrairement au reste de l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne, la crise inflationniste na\u00eet en Estonie d\u00e8s la fin 2021, avec la r\u00e9forme du pilier II des retraites, rendant accessible plus d\u2019un milliard d\u2019euros de liquidit\u00e9s sur le march\u00e9. A cela s\u2019ajoute la forte \u00e9pargne disponible en raison de la crise du Covid, ce qui soutient davantage la demande et cr\u00e9e de premi\u00e8res tensions inflationnistes. La guerre en Ukraine qui d\u00e9bute en f\u00e9vrier 2022 accentue ces tensions et rend la situation incontr\u00f4lable : entre novembre 2021 et novembre 2022, l\u2019inflation \u00e9tait de pr\u00e8s de 22,5% (puis 19,4% de janvier 2022 \u00e0 janvier 2023).<\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block8\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-3b4hi\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">Malgr\u00e9 cette forte inflation, la demande est rest\u00e9e stable pendant les trois premiers trimestres 2022, notamment parce que les m\u00e9nages ont fait le choix de puiser dans leur \u00e9pargne disponible. Cela a certes contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer l\u2019inflation, mais a aussi et surtout permis aux entreprises de bien traverser la crise : au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022, le taux de ch\u00f4mage a diminu\u00e9 d\u2019un point, passant de 6,2% \u00e0 5,2%. A titre de comparaison, la moyenne europ\u00e9enne est de 6% fin 2022 et la France de 7,1%. Outre le maintien de la demande, ce dynamisme sur le march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi s\u2019explique par la reprise post-Covid. Des p\u00e9nuries de main d\u2019\u0153uvre ont m\u00eame pu voir le jour pour certains secteurs et les salaires ont augment\u00e9 de 8,7% sur l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022 avec un salaire moyen s\u2019\u00e9tablissant \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 1 682 EUR.<\/div><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block10\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-frqn2\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">Lors de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022, l\u2019\u00e9conomie estonienne a cependant connu une l\u00e9g\u00e8re r\u00e9cession, \u00e0 hauteur de de -0,5% selon la banque centrale d\u2019Estonie. A nuancer puisque dans le m\u00eame temps, le minist\u00e8re des finances annonce une croissance de 1%. Quoi qu\u2019il en soit, ces chiffres contrastent fortement avec le fort dynamisme de 2021 et ses 8,5% de croissance. Les finances publiques ont \u00e9t\u00e9s relativement bonnes sur l\u2019ann\u00e9e : les d\u00e9penses de soutien \u00e0 la population ne sont arriv\u00e9es que tardivement alors que les recettes ont particuli\u00e8rement augment\u00e9 d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la demande soutenue malgr\u00e9 l\u2019inflation. Par cons\u00e9quent, le d\u00e9ficit public est inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 2% pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2022.<\/div><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block12\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><p dir=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/p><p id=\"viewer-2oh1a\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\"><strong><u>Des perspectives qui s&rsquo;assombrissent pour 2023<\/u><\/strong><\/p><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block14\">La forte demande des trois premiers trimestres 2022 s\u2019est ralentie depuis le quatri\u00e8me trimestre en raison de l\u2019amenuisement de l\u2019\u00e9pargne disponible et de l\u2019inflation plus forte que la hausse des salaires. Cette baisse de la demande int\u00e9rieure conjugu\u00e9e \u00e0 la hausse des co\u00fbts de production en raison de l\u2019inflation \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique menace fortement les entreprises. Il faut \u00e9galement prendre en compte les cons\u00e9quences directes des sanctions europ\u00e9ennes \u00e0 l\u2019encontre de la Russie : la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie estime \u00e0 11% le nombre de salari\u00e9s estoniens dont l\u2019entreprise d\u00e9pend majoritairement de produits d\u2019origine Russe. Face \u00e0 ces difficult\u00e9s, les entreprises concern\u00e9es risquent de licencier plus de 1 000 salari\u00e9s. A cela s\u2019ajoutent les r\u00e9fugi\u00e9s Ukrainiens : d\u00e9but d\u00e9cembre 2022, pr\u00e8s de 6 300 d\u2019entre eux \u00e9taient inscrits au ch\u00f4mage, soit 12,6% des ch\u00f4meurs inscrits. Ainsi, en 2023, le ch\u00f4mage remontera en fl\u00e8che : la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie anticipe un taux de ch\u00f4mage de pr\u00e8s de 8,5% en 2023 et de 8.7% en 2024.<\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block15\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-qmot\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">Dans ce contexte de crise, la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie anticipe une croissance de 0.4% en 2023 (contre 0.5% pour le Minist\u00e8re des Finances). De m\u00eame, l\u2019inflation diminuera mais restera forte : la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie pr\u00e9voit une hausse des prix de 9.3% en 2023 (contre 6.7 pour le minist\u00e8re des finances). Bien que les mesures gouvernementales entr\u00e9es en vigueur \u00e0 l\u2019automne 2022 aient pu quelque peu contenir l\u2019inflation \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique, la chute des temp\u00e9ratures risque de la faire repartir \u00e0 la hausse. Cette incertitude ainsi que la chute de la demande aussi bien int\u00e9rieure qu\u2019ext\u00e9rieure et la hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eats d\u00e9courage les entreprises \u00e0 investir.<\/div><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block17\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-ccc2i\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">La Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie estime que l\u2019effet de la politique mon\u00e9taire de rigueur est contrecarr\u00e9 par une politique budg\u00e9taire qu\u2019elle juge de relance car trop d\u00e9ficitaire. Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire augmentera en effet de fa\u00e7on exponentielle en 2023 : d\u2019une part, les recettes diminueront en raison de la baisse de la consommation et de la hausse des minimums sociaux non imposable, et d\u2019autre part, les d\u00e9penses augmenteront fortement, notamment en raison de la hausse des allocations familiales et de la hausse des salaires dans le secteur public pour s\u2019aligner sur le secteur priv\u00e9. Par cons\u00e9quent, sans changement de politique majeur au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire sera de 4,6% du PIB en 2023.<\/div><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block19\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><p id=\"viewer-drmo2\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">\u00a0<\/p><\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><p id=\"viewer-b3948\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\"><span class=\"deJ7P YCZ-u\"><strong><u>Une sortie de crise \u00e0 long terme au d\u00e9triment de l&rsquo;\u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire<\/u><\/strong><\/span><\/p><\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block21\">Le contexte g\u00e9opolitique de la r\u00e9gion rend les pr\u00e9dictions de long terme incertaines. La Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie anticipe cependant une forte reprise en 2024 avec 3,1% de croissance (contre 3,0 pour le minist\u00e8re des finances) et une inflation redescendue \u00e0 2,8% (1% selon le minist\u00e8re des finances). Cette reprise permettrait \u00e0 long terme de faire diminuer le ch\u00f4mage, qui resterait cependant \u00e0 8,7% en 2024 avant de ne redescendre \u00e0 7,6% \u00e0 partir de 2025.<\/div><div data-hook=\"rcv-block22\">\u00a0<\/div><div data-breakout=\"normal\"><div id=\"viewer-5en6\" class=\"ZuC5J faq2B YCZ-u YZYFQ\" dir=\"auto\">Le budget 2023 vot\u00e9 fin Novembre par le Parlement estonien a privil\u00e9gi\u00e9 l\u2019urgence \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique et s\u00e9curitaire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9quilibre budg\u00e9taire en introduisant de nombreuses nouvelles d\u00e9penses (i.e plus de 3% du PIB allou\u00e9 au secteur de la d\u00e9fense). Sans \u00e9volutions g\u00e9opolitiques ou \u00e9conomiques majeures, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait s\u2019\u00e9lever \u00e0 4,6% du PIB en 2023 puis redescendre de 0,7% par an pour atteindre 3,8% en 2024, 3,1% en 2025 et repasser sous la barre des 3% en 2026 avec un d\u00e9ficit \u00e0 2,6% du PIB. Selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie, les d\u00e9penses publiques \u00e9tant incompressibles en raison de leur importance strat\u00e9gique, l\u2019Etat ne dispose d\u2019une marge de man\u0153uvre que du c\u00f4t\u00e9 des recettes. La Banque Centrale conclut en effet son rapport en rappelant notamment que la pression fiscale est l\u2019une des plus faible de l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne (33,3% du PIB) alors que la moyenne de l\u2019UE est d\u2019environ 40%.<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-620d3c80 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"620d3c80\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5d85a587 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"5d85a587\" data-element_type=\"container\" 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publication\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post-navigation__prev elementor-post-navigation__link\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/2023\/01\/06\/le-commerce-exterieur-de-lestonie-lors-des-trois-premiers-trimestres-2022\/\" rel=\"prev\"><span class=\"post-navigation__arrow-wrapper post-navigation__arrow-prev\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-angle-left\" viewBox=\"0 0 256 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M31.7 239l136-136c9.4-9.4 24.6-9.4 33.9 0l22.6 22.6c9.4 9.4 9.4 24.6 0 33.9L127.9 256l96.4 96.4c9.4 9.4 9.4 24.6 0 33.9L201.7 409c-9.4 9.4-24.6 9.4-33.9 0l-136-136c-9.5-9.4-9.5-24.6-.1-34z\"><\/path><\/svg><span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent<\/span><\/span><span class=\"elementor-post-navigation__link__prev\"><span class=\"post-navigation__prev--label\">Pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent<\/span><span class=\"post-navigation__prev--title\">Le commerce ext\u00e9rieur de l\u2019Estonie lors des trois premiers trimestres 2022<\/span><\/span><\/a>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post-navigation__separator-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post-navigation__separator\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post-navigation__next elementor-post-navigation__link\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/2023\/03\/03\/opportunites-et-perspectives-de-la-transition-energetique-en-estonie\/\" rel=\"next\"><span class=\"elementor-post-navigation__link__next\"><span class=\"post-navigation__next--label\">Suivant<\/span><span class=\"post-navigation__next--title\">Opportunit\u00e9s et perspectives de la transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique en Estonie<\/span><\/span><span class=\"post-navigation__arrow-wrapper post-navigation__arrow-next\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fas-angle-right\" viewBox=\"0 0 256 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M224.3 273l-136 136c-9.4 9.4-24.6 9.4-33.9 0l-22.6-22.6c-9.4-9.4-9.4-24.6 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data-id=\"43567f50\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>La CCI France-Estonie est fi\u00e8rement affili\u00e9e \u00e0 la CCI France International, r\u00e9seau mondial des Chambres de Commerce et d&rsquo;Industrie fran\u00e7aises.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-282ebffd elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"282ebffd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"footer-title\">T\u00e9l\u00e9chargez l\u2019application CCIFI Connect<\/span><\/p><p>Acc\u00e9l\u00e9rez votre business gr\u00e2ce au 1er r\u00e9seau priv\u00e9 d&rsquo;entreprises fran\u00e7aises dans 94 pays : 119 chambres | 33 000 entreprises | 4 000 \u00e9v\u00e9nements 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class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Nos services<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-786\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/evenements-a-venir\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">\u00c9v\u00e8nements \u00e0 Venir<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-787\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/blog\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Blog<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-784\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/adhesions\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Adh\u00e9sions<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-793\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/rejoignez-nous\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Rejoignez-nous<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-790\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/nos-membres\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Nos Membres<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-785\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/contact\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Contact<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-789\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/mentions-legales\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Mentions l\u00e9gales<\/a><\/li>\n<li class=\"menu-item menu-item-type-post_type menu-item-object-page menu-item-1382\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/membership-login\/membership-profile\/\" class=\"elementor-item\" tabindex=\"-1\">Mon compte<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\t\t\t<\/nav>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-62ccc513 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"62ccc513\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ae1de4a elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"ae1de4a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Restez inform\u00e9s !<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2364ea71 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2364ea71\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"s_lp9yl\" data-editable=\"static-text\"><div class=\"text-content\">Recevez l&rsquo;actualit\u00e9 de la Chambre en ne manquant aucun prochain \u00e9v\u00e9nement.<\/div><\/div><div id=\"c_yyfno\" data-editable=\"custom\"><div class=\"container label-position-inside\"><div class=\"box\"><div class=\"field\">\u00a0<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-24f7242d elementor-button-align-stretch elementor-widget elementor-widget-form\" data-id=\"24f7242d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;step_next_label&quot;:&quot;Suivant&quot;,&quot;step_previous_label&quot;:&quot;Pr\\u00e9c\\u00e9dent&quot;,&quot;button_width&quot;:&quot;100&quot;,&quot;step_type&quot;:&quot;number_text&quot;,&quot;step_icon_shape&quot;:&quot;circle&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"form.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<form class=\"elementor-form\" method=\"post\" name=\"Nouveau formulaire\" aria-label=\"Nouveau formulaire\">\n\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"post_id\" value=\"4362\"\/>\n\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"form_id\" value=\"24f7242d\"\/>\n\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" name=\"referer_title\" value=\"admin-cycoma, auteur\/autrice sur CCIFE - Page 9 sur 10\" \/>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-form-fields-wrapper elementor-labels-above\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-field-type-text elementor-field-group elementor-column elementor-field-group-name elementor-col-100 elementor-field-required elementor-mark-required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<input size=\"1\" type=\"text\" name=\"form_fields[name]\" id=\"form-field-name\" class=\"elementor-field elementor-size-sm  elementor-field-textual\" placeholder=\"Nom &amp; Pr\u00e9nom\" required=\"required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-field-type-email elementor-field-group elementor-column elementor-field-group-email elementor-col-100 elementor-field-required elementor-mark-required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<input size=\"1\" type=\"email\" name=\"form_fields[email]\" id=\"form-field-email\" class=\"elementor-field elementor-size-sm  elementor-field-textual\" placeholder=\"E-mail\" required=\"required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-field-type-text elementor-field-group elementor-column elementor-field-group-field_6ecf0ea elementor-col-100 elementor-field-required elementor-mark-required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<input size=\"1\" type=\"text\" name=\"form_fields[field_6ecf0ea]\" id=\"form-field-field_6ecf0ea\" class=\"elementor-field elementor-size-sm  elementor-field-textual\" placeholder=\"Soci\u00e9t\u00e9\" required=\"required\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-field-group elementor-column elementor-field-type-submit elementor-col-100 e-form__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<button class=\"elementor-button elementor-size-sm\" type=\"submit\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">JE M'INSCRIS !<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/form>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5a0b9cff elementor-hidden-tablet elementor-hidden-mobile e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"5a0b9cff\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-606f7fbe e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"606f7fbe\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d0eb04d elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3d0eb04d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Made with <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u2764<\/span> by Cycoma<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2183698a e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"2183698a\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7e77711e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"7e77711e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u00a9 Copyright 2024 Chambre de Commerce et d&rsquo;Industrie France Estonie<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-11517a93 elementor-hidden-desktop e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"11517a93\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5fc1b920 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"5fc1b920\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3a25507f elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"3a25507f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Contactez-nous !<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1918b0ac elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"1918b0ac\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div 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https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/En-tete-2500-x-500-px-2000-x-500-px-9.png 2000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 580px) 100vw, 580px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-236f13c6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"236f13c6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h6 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">\u2709\n\ncontact@ccife.ee<\/h6>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4090eaab e-grid-align-left elementor-shape-rounded elementor-grid-0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-social-icons\" data-id=\"4090eaab\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"social-icons.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div 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elementor-social-icon-linkedin elementor-repeater-item-f8dc090\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/cadfe-club-d-affaires-des-francophones-en-estonie\/\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Linkedin<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-linkedin\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M416 32H31.9C14.3 32 0 46.5 0 64.3v383.4C0 465.5 14.3 480 31.9 480H416c17.6 0 32-14.5 32-32.3V64.3c0-17.8-14.4-32.3-32-32.3zM135.4 416H69V202.2h66.5V416zm-33.2-243c-21.3 0-38.5-17.3-38.5-38.5S80.9 96 102.2 96c21.2 0 38.5 17.3 38.5 38.5 0 21.3-17.2 38.5-38.5 38.5zm282.1 243h-66.4V312c0-24.8-.5-56.7-34.5-56.7-34.6 0-39.9 27-39.9 54.9V416h-66.4V202.2h63.7v29.2h.9c8.9-16.8 30.6-34.5 62.9-34.5 67.2 0 79.7 44.3 79.7 101.9V416z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-39296c88 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"39296c88\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>La CCI France-Estonie est fi\u00e8rement affili\u00e9e \u00e0 la CCI France International, r\u00e9seau mondial des Chambres de Commerce et d&rsquo;Industrie fran\u00e7aises.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9cae99e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"9cae99e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"footer-title\">T\u00e9l\u00e9chargez l\u2019application CCIFI Connect<\/span><\/p><p>Acc\u00e9l\u00e9rez votre business gr\u00e2ce au 1er r\u00e9seau priv\u00e9 d&rsquo;entreprises fran\u00e7aises dans 94 pays : 119 chambres | 33 000 entreprises | 4 000 \u00e9v\u00e9nements | 300 comit\u00e9s | 1 200 avantages exclusifs<br \/><br \/>R\u00e9serv\u00e9e exclusivement aux membres des CCI Fran\u00e7aises \u00e0 l&rsquo;International,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/ccifi-connect.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">d\u00e9couvrez l&rsquo;app CCIFI Connect<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"my-0 d-flex gap-0\">\u00a0<\/div>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-75c3c740 e-grid e-con-full e-con e-child\" data-id=\"75c3c740\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4212f7cc elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"4212f7cc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/fr\/app\/ccifi-connect\/id1563237129?platform=iphone\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-80-150x150.png\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-image-849\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-80-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-80-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-80.png 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-992bb02 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"992bb02\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/play.google.com\/store\/apps\/details?id=com.app.ccifranceinternational&#038;pli=1\" target=\"_blank\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-78-150x150.png\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-image-843\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-78-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-78-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/ccife.ee\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/Design-sans-titre-78.png 500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6a8d794f e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"6a8d794f\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4de99df7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4de99df7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Site web<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-40da7f06 elementor-nav-menu--dropdown-tablet elementor-nav-menu__text-align-aside elementor-nav-menu--toggle elementor-nav-menu--burger elementor-widget elementor-widget-nav-menu\" data-id=\"40da7f06\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;layout&quot;:&quot;vertical&quot;,&quot;submenu_icon&quot;:{&quot;value&quot;:&quot;&lt;svg aria-hidden=\\&quot;true\\&quot; class=\\&quot;e-font-icon-svg e-fas-caret-down\\&quot; viewBox=\\&quot;0 0 320 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!<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/button>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/form>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1800ca85 elementor-hidden-desktop e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"1800ca85\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-200b3ac4 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"200b3ac4\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6c138626 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6c138626\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Made with <span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">\u2764<\/span> by Cycoma<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4397bfd8 e-con-full e-flex e-con e-child\" data-id=\"4397bfd8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-142e4935 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"142e4935\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u00a9 Copyright 2024 Chambre de Commerce et d&rsquo;Industrie France Estonie<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ? La crise inflationniste et \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique que traverse l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne a \u00e9t\u00e9 particuli\u00e8rement forte en Estonie avec le plus fort taux d\u2019inflation en Europe en 2022 (19,4%). Pourtant, la demande s\u2019est maintenue notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 une forte \u00e9pargne disponible. Cela a permis aux entreprises [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4366,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ? - CCIFE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ccife.ee\/fr\/2023\/01\/06\/quelles-previsions-economiques-pour-lannee-2023-selon-la-banque-centrale-destonie\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ? - CCIFE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Quelles pr\u00e9visions \u00e9conomiques pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023 selon la Banque Centrale d\u2019Estonie ? La crise inflationniste et \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique que traverse l\u2019Union Europ\u00e9enne a \u00e9t\u00e9 particuli\u00e8rement forte en Estonie avec le plus fort taux d\u2019inflation en Europe en 2022 (19,4%). Pourtant, la demande s\u2019est maintenue notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 une forte \u00e9pargne disponible. 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